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    太平軍北伐的序幕是怎么拉開的 為什么說這次是一場"假北伐"呢

      北伐,一般都是討伐帝都,直接奔著皇帝寶座去的。中國歷史上,有無數次北伐。發端于南方的革命力量,往往在占據了南方后,都會興師動眾北伐,希望能奪取京城,統一全國。有的北伐成功了,有的北伐失敗了,而太平軍的北伐也以失敗告終,但仔細分析就感覺,這場北伐是一場“假北伐”。

      1853年3月19日,太平軍占領南京。十天后,定都天京。洪秀全住進天王府,過上了皇帝的生活。太平天國正式開始與滿清政權形成南北對峙的局面。或許是洪秀全統一全國的心情比較急切,也或許是太平軍的士氣正旺,總之,定都四十天后就開始了北伐。

      5月8日,洪秀全派遣林鳳祥與李開芳北伐。兩人領兵2萬,從長江北岸的南京浦口北上,由此拉開太平軍北伐的序幕。為何說這次北伐是一場“假北伐”呢?

    image.png

      一是過于急功冒進。一個政權剛剛定都,就貿然北伐,縱然可以一鼓作氣、乘勝追擊,但也會暴露很多劣勢。比如戰略規劃不周,后勤保障不力。太平軍北伐后,就曾多次等待后續支援部隊,但總是希望落空。甚至都北伐到了天津,距離京城僅一步之遙,由于沒有增援部隊,在清軍的強力圍攻下,不得不南下后撤。在兩年的北伐戰爭中,太平軍基本都是饑寒交迫的,沒吃過幾頓飽飯。這樣的部隊能北伐成功呢?

      其實,按太平天國最初的計劃,后續增援的問題是有考慮的。即通過西征部隊北上支援北伐部隊,但計劃沒有變化快,西征軍在長江沿線遭遇了湘軍的頑強抵抗,雙方發生了拉鋸戰。太平軍攻占一城后,又被湘軍攻陷。后太平軍又再次反攻,如武昌、九江等地。原計劃北上增援的太平軍被湘軍拖住,根本走不開。孤立無援的北伐軍就徹底悲劇了。最搞笑的是,當太平軍從天津后撤到山東時,增援的太平軍也確實來了,但雙方竟然沒有接上頭。

      二是北伐軍人數太少。林鳳祥與李開芳兩人共率領了2萬人,而太平軍在攻占南京后,總兵力號稱有50萬之眾。以這么少的人數開始轟轟烈烈的北伐,簡直就是開玩笑。2萬人要面對幾乎整個北方的清軍,力量對比非常懸殊。不僅人數少,太平軍還是遠途征戰,連后勤保障都供應不上。兩年的北伐,征戰六省,攻占了無數城池,2萬人的部隊也是死傷無數。雖說在沿線也有一定的兵源補充,但數量有限,也無法形成戰斗力。有說太平軍到達天津時達到了4萬人,這似乎不太可信。當時駐守天津的清軍兵勇大概也就1萬人,4萬人打不過1萬人,未免太LOW。

      太平軍北伐應該也會懂得發動農民的道理,但為何沒有動員起來呢?這個很可能與太平軍主力都是兩廣人有很大關系。首先,太平軍將士與當地農民很難溝通,語言不通就會造成心理隔閡。你讓北方農民與兩廣人并肩作戰,很難。說也說不到一起,吃也吃不到一起。如果分開作戰,林鳳祥、李開芳如何領導呢,他們會放心嗎?

      另外還有一點。兩廣籍太平軍并沒有北伐的雄心。他們是典型的南方人,一輩子都沒去過北方,跟隨洪秀全、楊秀清等人一路打到南京,并成功定都。很多人就有了打江山、坐江山的享樂思想。打了幾年的仗,腦袋別在褲腰帶上,定都后,洪秀全坐了皇帝,將士們也該享受享受了。還沒享受兩天,就急匆匆北伐,相信很多人是頗有怨言的。在天津打仗時,正趕上冬季,把這幫南方人凍得哭爹喊娘,這還有啥戰斗力。

      以上幾點,相信洪秀全、楊秀清也會考慮到,林鳳祥與李開芳兩個高級將領也會明白。但他們為何還要執意北伐呢?因為這次北伐更有可能是一個計謀。

    image.png

      當時,太平天國定都南京后,清廷加大了圍剿太平天國的力度。欽差大臣向榮坐鎮南京孝陵衛,建立江北大營。欽差大臣琦善坐鎮揚州城外,建立江南大營。兩座大營成為太平天國這個新生政權的最大威脅,尤其是江北大營,就在眼皮底下。這形勢很明顯了,清廷就是要拉開架勢對太平天國進行圍殲。

      與此同時,北方增援的清軍也在趕來的路上,誓言要全力圍殲太平天國。兩座大營的清軍對天京各種攻擊,大炮都轟到了城里。太平天國面臨前所未有的壓力,洪秀全在天王府里始終提心吊膽。如何牽制清軍,如何分散這種壓力呢?可能最好的辦法就是派兵北伐,當然這招也比較冒險。

      也就是說,北伐的主要目的,不是奪取北京,而是分散清軍,調虎離山。當然,如果能真的攻陷了北京,那再好不過。所以,洪秀全給林鳳祥、李開芳的最高指示就是,要以最快的速度北伐,不要貪戀攻占城池的多少,更不要與清軍打陣地戰、消耗戰。意思已經很明顯了,就是給清廷施加壓力,牽制清軍兵力,為天京解困。

    image.png

      果然,清廷得知太平軍北伐后,大為恐懼。四處調兵圍堵太平軍,原本要南下增援的清軍也被用于圍攻北伐太平軍。太平軍從江蘇、河南、山西、河北、山東,一路殺到天津。太平軍一步步逼近北京,相信咸豐與洪秀全一樣睡不著覺了。清廷對北伐的太平軍疲于應付,主要精力都放在了圍堵北伐太平軍和如何保衛北京上。如此一來,天京遭圍殲的壓力就小了很多。

      事實證明,太平軍北伐后,天京周圍幾乎沒有發生什么像樣的戰爭,基本就是太平無戰事。也就是說,太平天國北伐的主要目的還是達到了。至于奪取不奪取北京,那都是次要的。

      當然,這次北伐也是冒著很大危險的。因為在清軍圍堵天京時,抽調精銳力量北伐就等于削弱了天京的防守力量。

      北伐,如果主要目的不是奪取北京,那就可以說不是真正的北伐。所以說,太平軍的北伐就是一場“假北伐”。


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